High return investments are considered to have
a high risk by their very nature, but it’s not as simple
as that.
Risk is not just related to the investment medium, but also
how the investment is managed.
We all want high return investments and we all want low risk.
Let’s look at how to choose a manager that can make you
higher returns and keep risk low.
Risk of an investment
The risk of any investment (not just a high return investment)
is determined by the following equation.
Investment medium + management = return
Driving a high performance racing car is risky, but in the hands
of a skilful driver the risk is reduced considerably, as they
know how to drive correctly and not crash!
You will often see high risk investments with lower downside
volatility than a supposed low risk investment.
For example, a mutual fund or unit trust can be more volatile
than a higher risk futures or hedge fund.
The reason for this is its all down to management:
So when looking at high return investments look for managers
who reduce risk. So what should you look for?
The following list will put you in the right direction. Some
are obvious and some are not!
1.Growth to drawdown
Which would you rather have a manager with 40% annual returns
and 15% drawdown or one with 50% and 40% drawdown? Look for the
best balance of risk / reward.
When looking at high return investments look for a balance to
comfortable risk you can tolerate.
2.Length and representative track record
Look for track record of reasonable length.
Let’s face it, anyone can have a lucky streak.
In addition, many mutual funds do test accounts i.e. they start
off managers with small equity, pick the best and then present
it to the public, so look for 3 -5 years minimum.
Also make sure that you check out all accounts that are managed
by the asset managers, so you know performance is representative
3.Drawdown to recovery
Look at any track record and look at recoveries to new peaks
in equity from them. Obviously the quicker the recovery the better
and look for drawdown recoveries of under 12 months.
4.Active investment
Avoid buy and hold investments. This is not the way to make
big long term gains, look for managers who are active and not
always in the market.
5.Look for performance only managers
Although it doesn’t guarantee success, look for managers
who will actively take performance fees only. At least they have
confidence in their skill, which is a good sign. Lots of companies
have high management and broking fees that eat into your gains
and they will make money regardless if you win or lose.
A high return investment is no good if you lose large amounts
in fees.
6.Conflict of interest
Look for an investment manager that does not earn a cut of dealing
fees. If they do they may be tempted to trade just to make dealing
commission and this may not be in your interest.
Getting a high return investment that performs is a combination
of all of the above and you will do well to do your homework,
keep in mind it is sometimes the smaller asset managers who work
on performance based fees, who will make you the biggest gains.
Use the above and hopefully you will find a high return investment
that will perform for you and give you the capital growth you
are looking for.